Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.

TUSK ·Energy, Oil & Gas Equipment & Services, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $3.46
Market Price $2.84
Undervalued By 17.9%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $5.0M normalized base FCF (storm-restoration/grid-hardening revenue is lumpy, so normalized below the $68.4M TTM revenue run-rate); 5% annual FCF growth years 1-5; 3% years 6-10; 11% discount rate; 2.5% terminal growth; $98.54M net cash add-back ($101.99M cash less $3.45M debt); 48.13M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Mammoth's revenue is highly cyclical, driven by storm-restoration and grid-hardening contracts, so a DCF on normalized (not peak) cash flow with a sizeable net-cash add-back captures both the going-concern operating value and the large balance-sheet cash cushion that dominates the current $136.7M market cap.