Moog Inc.
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$276.19
Market Price
$392.73
Overvalued By
42.2%
Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $350.23M TTM free cash flow base; 10% annual FCF growth years 1-5, 6% years 6-10; 8.5% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; $1.08B net debt; 31.67M total shares outstanding (Class A + Class B combined).
Reasoning: Moog just posted record Q4 FY25 sales, margins and free cash flow with strong FY26 guidance, driven by a growing defense/aerospace backlog, supporting an above-average near-term growth rate that moderates over the forecast window; the result lands below the current market price, implying the market is also pricing in continued margin expansion and M&A beyond this base-case cash-flow path.