Community Health Systems, Inc.

CYH ·Healthcare, Medical Care Facilities, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $1.00
Market Price $2.70
Overvalued By 170.0%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: normalized base FCF of $164M (average of FY2024 $120M and FY2025 $208M free cash flow, excluding the negative -$185M TTM figure as working-capital distorted); 2% FCF growth years 1-5, 1.5% years 6-10; 10% discount rate; 2% terminal growth; less net debt of $10,056M ($149M cash less $10,205M total debt); 135.53M shares outstanding. The resulting enterprise value (~$2.06B) is far below net debt, so the DCF-implied common-equity value is effectively zero to slightly negative; $1.00/share is presented as a nominal residual/option value on the equity.

Reasoning: Community Health Systems carries roughly $10.2B of net debt against modest and declining free cash flow, so a standard unlevered FCF DCF correctly shows that current cash generation does not cover the debt load; the stock's deep-value trading multiples (1.47x trailing P/E) already reflect the market treating the common equity as a leveraged, option-like claim on a hospital turnaround, which this conservative DCF is consistent with.