CaliberCos Inc.

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $1.0M normalized FCF base (assumes return to breakeven per management 2026 guidance); 15% growth years 1-5; 8% years 6-10; 20% discount rate (distress risk); 3% terminal growth; -$21.1M net debt (notes payable); 10.38M shares outstanding; equity floored near zero.

Reasoning: CaliberCos is a micro-cap real-estate asset manager in financial distress (recent large losses, revenue decline, near-term debt maturities); a heavily risk-adjusted DCF with a high discount rate and near-zero recovery value reflects that debt and liabilities currently overwhelm projected cash flows.