Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$3.38
Market Price
$2.96
Undervalued By
12.4%
Method: 10-year two-stage DCF: normalized FCF base of $20M (between -$0.39M TTM and $33.99M FY2025 FCF, reflecting cyclical Class 8 truck-build volatility); 4% annual growth throughout, 12% discount rate, 2.5% terminal growth; plus -$110.57M net debt (~$35.95M cash less $146.52M debt). Equity value $128.4M / 38.00M shares = $3.38/share.
Reasoning: Commercial Vehicle Group is a cyclical heavy-truck/construction-equipment components supplier; a two-stage DCF anchored to a mid-cycle normalized FCF (rather than either trough TTM or peak FY2025 figures) best captures the company's through-cycle earning power.