Cisco Systems, Inc.
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$67.80
Market Price
$112.11
Overvalued By
65.4%
Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $12.8B normalized TTM FCF base; 6% FCF growth years 1-5; 4% growth years 6-10; 8.5% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; $15.3B net debt; 3.943B shares outstanding.
Reasoning: Cisco is a mature, highly cash-generative networking/security/collaboration leader with stable, well-disclosed free cash flow, so a standard FCF DCF is the most appropriate method; growth assumptions reflect a moderate AI-networking upgrade cycle tapering toward GDP-like long-term growth, and the discount rate reflects its low-beta profile despite having moved to a net-debt position after the debt-funded Splunk acquisition.