Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.

CPS ·Consumer Cyclical, Auto Parts, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $12.03
Market Price $21.83
Overvalued By 81.5%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $110M normalized annual FCF base (roughly 4% of $2.78B TTM revenue, reflecting the company's recent return to sustained positive free cash flow after its 2023-2024 balance-sheet restructuring); 3.5% annual FCF growth for years 1-5; 2% for years 6-10; 11% discount rate (reflecting high leverage and auto-industry cyclicality); 2% terminal growth; $1,113M net debt ($1,240M total debt less $126.6M cash); 17.77M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Cooper-Standard is a recently-turned-around, still highly leveraged auto-parts supplier, so a DCF anchored to a conservative normalized free-cash-flow margin (rather than extrapolating a single strong recent quarter) better reflects sustainable value for a thin-margin, cyclical, debt-laden supplier.