The Vita Coco Company, Inc.

COCO ·Consumer Defensive, Beverages - Non-Alcoholic, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $32.04
Market Price $50.65
Overvalued By 58.1%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: FCF base $39.0M (FY2025 actual, OCF $47.2M minus capex $8.2M); 18% annual FCF growth years 1-5 (in line with FY2026 guided +31% revenue growth, tempered for margin/capex normalization); 8% years 6-10; 8.5% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; net cash of $264.6M; 59.16M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Vita Coco is a profitable, fast-growing, debt-free branded beverage leader with real improving margins and a large net-cash balance sheet, so a cash-flow DCF anchored on its actual trailing free cash flow (rather than the market's embedded very-high forward growth expectations) gives a more conservative, grounded intrinsic estimate; the resulting value sits below the current market price, which appears to price in sustained 25-30%+ growth that this more conservative model does not fully extrapolate.