Catalyst Bancorp, Inc.

CLST ·Financial, Banks - Regional, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $15.70
Market Price $16.95
Overvalued By 8.0%

Method: Justified price-to-book model for a bank: $20.38 book value per share ($82.53M total equity over 4.05M shares); normalized sustainable ROE of 7% once post-conversion excess capital is deployed, versus a current depressed 2.5% ROE; 8.5% cost of equity; 2% long-run earnings growth; justified P/B = (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) = 0.77x applied to book value per share.

Reasoning: As a recently stock-converted thrift holding company, Catalyst Bancorp is substantially overcapitalized relative to its loan book, so near-term reported ROE understates sustainable earning power; a bank is best valued on book value and normalized return on equity rather than a cash-flow DCF, since equity capital, not free cash flow, is the resource being allocated here.