ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.

CHPT ·Technology, Electronic Components, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $6.90
Market Price $8.13
Overvalued By 17.8%

Method: Forward revenue-multiple DCF: starting TTM revenue of $432.89M (period ended ~Jul 31, 2026, +8.8% YoY) is grown at 8%/10%/10%/10%/10% over 5 years to ~$684.5M, an exit EV/Revenue multiple of 1.0x is applied (reflecting thin/negative margins; current EV/Revenue is ~0.93x), giving a Year-5 enterprise value of ~$684.5M, discounted back 5 years at a 15% discount rate (high-risk, cash-burning company) to a present enterprise value of ~$340.4M; subtracting current net debt of $154.77M (cash $95.33M vs. total debt $250.1M) gives equity value ~$185.6M, divided by 26.85M shares outstanding (post 1-for-20 reverse split, mid-2025) = ~$6.90/share. Other data used: share price $9.29, market cap $249.44M, FY2026 revenue $411.22M (-1.4% YoY), TTM net loss -$175.73M (stockanalysis.com, company balance sheet data, as of ~Oct 2, 2026).

Reasoning: ChargePoint is a pre-profitability, hardware+network/SaaS company whose near-term earnings are deeply negative, so a revenue-multiple-anchored forward DCF (rather than an earnings or FCF-based DCF) is the more tractable approach, and a high 15% discount rate plus a conservative 1.0x exit multiple reflect persistent cash burn, a net debt position, and recent revenue stagnation (FY2026 revenue actually declined 1.4%) despite the broader EV-charging industry's much faster ~22% projected CAGR.