Artesian Resources Corporation

ARTNA ·Utilities, Utilities - Regulated Water, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $31.80
Market Price $32.96
Overvalued By 3.6%

Method: Two-stage Dividend Discount Model: current annual dividend $1.28/share; 4% annual dividend growth for years 1-10 (consistent with the recent ~4% one-year dividend growth rate and 32-year streak of increases); 3% terminal growth thereafter reflecting long-run regulated rate-base and customer growth; 7.5% required return on equity, set above the level implied by ARTNA's low 0.32 beta under pure CAPM to account for small-cap illiquidity and single-state-cluster regulatory risk; discounting the growing dividend stream and the terminal value back to present yields about $31.80 per share, versus 10.33M shares outstanding and a current market price of $33.21.

Reasoning: ARTNA is a stable, rate-regulated water and wastewater utility with persistently negative free cash flow because of continuous infrastructure capital spending, which makes a cash-flow-based DCF unreliable and understates value; its 32-year record of steady dividend increases, moderate payout ratio, and utility-like earnings predictability make a dividend discount model the standard and more appropriate tool for this type of regulated income stock.