Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation

AP ·Industrials, Industrial Machinery, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $6.87
Market Price $9.22
Overvalued By 34.2%

Method: 10-year revenue-growth/FCF-margin-ramp DCF: $428.0M TTM revenue growing 4% yrs 1-5, 3% yrs 6-10; FCF margin ramping from 2% to 5% by yr5 and held at 5% yrs 6-10 reflecting the company's return to profitability; 10.5% discount rate; 2.5% terminal growth; $129.51M net debt; 20.66M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Ampco-Pittsburgh is a small, leveraged industrial metals/air-handling manufacturer with historically volatile and recently negative free cash flow; the model reflects the company's stated Q2 2026 return to profitability and strong order book while remaining conservative given its high financial leverage.