Amplify Energy Corp.

AMPY ·Energy, Oil & Gas E&P, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $3.48
Market Price $4.59
Overvalued By 31.8%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $15M normalized annual FCF base (versus a depressed TTM FCF of -$67.38M reflecting elevated workover/capital spending), held flat (0% growth) for the full 10-year window given mature, depleting offshore California and Wyoming assets; 12% discount rate; 0% terminal growth; $18.11M net cash added; 41.16M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Amplify Energy is a mature oil & gas E&P with declining, commodity-price-sensitive cash flows from depleting fields, so a normalized flat-FCF perpetuity with an elevated discount rate for commodity and reserve-depletion risk is more appropriate than extrapolating a single volatile year's cash flow.