Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
Method: Probability-weighted event valuation: assumes roughly 60% probability that the announced transaction closes, under which legacy shareholders retain about 5% of the company in exchange for adding $200M+ of Bitcoin assets to the balance sheet (~$10M value to legacy holders), versus a near-zero residual value in the 40% no-close scenario given the core software business generated only $7,138 of TTM revenue; blended across 4.97M shares outstanding.
Reasoning: Alpha Modus's core retail-AI software business is pre-revenue and loss-making, making a DCF meaningless, and the stock's current value is dominated by a pending, highly dilutive Bitcoin-treasury transaction, so a probability-weighted special-situation valuation is more appropriate than a cash-flow model.