AGCO Corporation
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$86.41
Market Price
$114.61
Overvalued By
32.6%
Method: 10-year FCF DCF: $550M normalized annual FCF (mid-cycle average versus the depressed $330M TTM figure and the $740M FY2025 figure, reflecting the current agricultural-equipment downturn); 3% growth years 1-5, 2% years 6-10; 9% discount rate; 2% terminal growth; $2,315M net debt; 70.03M shares outstanding.
Reasoning: AGCO is a cyclical industrial manufacturer of farm equipment, so free cash flow is normalized to a mid-cycle level rather than the currently depressed trough, using modest long-term growth consistent with a mature, cyclical industry.