Chevron Corporation
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$156.17
Market Price
$206.50
Overvalued By
32.2%
Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $22.0B normalized (mid-cycle) free cash flow base, below the $27.0B TTM figure to adjust for currently elevated energy prices; 3% annual FCF growth years 1-5; 2% years 6-10; 9% discount rate; 2% terminal growth; $28.55B net debt; 1.96B shares outstanding.
Reasoning: Chevron's free cash flow is highly cyclical with commodity prices, so TTM FCF was normalized downward to a mid-cycle estimate before discounting; the model implies the stock trades above normalized intrinsic value at today's elevated oil-price environment.