Coronado Global Resources Inc.

CODQL ·Energy, Thermal Coal
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $0.09
Market Price $0.17
Overvalued By 91.9%

Method: Normalized-cycle EV/EBITDA: $200M normalized (through-cycle) EBITDA, well below the H1 2026 run-rate of a -$82.5M adjusted EBITDA loss, reflecting the typical earnings Coronado generates across a full metallurgical-coal price cycle rather than the current cyclical trough; applied a 3.5x EV/EBITDA multiple typical for distressed-cycle coal producers; less $606.1M net debt (H1 2026); divided by approximately 1,097M shares (implied by $199.77M market cap / $0.18214 share price).

Reasoning: Coronado is a highly cyclical metallurgical coal producer currently posting negative EBITDA and rising net debt (which already exceeds its market cap), so a DCF on current cash flow would not be meaningful; a normalized through-cycle EBITDA multiple is the standard way analysts value commodity miners across price cycles.