Burlington Stores, Inc.

BURL ·Consumer Cyclical, Department Stores, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $244.45
Market Price $272.56
Overvalued By 11.5%

Method: 10-year levered FCF DCF (net-income-based): $600M Year-1 FCF base (slightly below the $714.18M TTM net income to allow for growth capex); 10% annual growth years 1-5, 6% years 6-10; 9% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; 62.8M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Burlington is a mature, consistently profitable off-price retailer with a long streak of double-digit EPS growth and recent guidance raises, so a standard net-income-anchored DCF with a moderate discount rate reflecting its scale and balance-sheet strength is appropriate.