The Brink's Company
AI Valuation
AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.
AI Fair Value
$127.70
Market Price
$101.80
Undervalued By
20.3%
Method: Two-stage unlevered FCF DCF: normalized FCF base $450M (vs. TTM reported FCF $468M, 46% FCF/EBITDA conversion), 5% growth years 1-5, 3.5% years 6-10, 2.5% terminal growth, 9% WACC, less $2.9B net debt (2.7x adjusted EBITDA), divided by 41.19M diluted shares outstanding.
Reasoning: Brink's is a mature, cash-generative logistics/security business with mid-single-digit organic revenue growth guidance and FCF conversion already above its 40-45% target range, making a standard unlevered FCF DCF the natural fit.