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Aura Minerals Inc.

AUGO ·Basic Materials, Other Industrial Metals & Mining, Virgin Islands, British
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $53.20
Market Price $84.89
Overvalued By 59.6%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $320M normalized FCF base (Q2 2026 recurring FCF of $80M annualized, excluding one-time gold-hedge losses); 5% annual FCF growth years 1-5 (per 340-390koz 2026 GEO production guidance); 2% years 6-10; 10% discount rate; 2% terminal growth; $168M net debt subtracted; 83.84M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Aura Minerals is a profitable, dividend-paying, low-leverage gold/copper producer, but its trailing results are inflated by an elevated gold price and one-time hedge gains, so the DCF normalizes to a sustainable through-cycle FCF level rather than extrapolating the current record quarter.