American Outdoor Brands, Inc.

AOUT ·Consumer Cyclical, Leisure, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $16.44
Market Price $16.35
Undervalued By 0.5%

Method: 10-year unlevered FCF DCF: $11.72M average of FY2026 ($4.3M) and TTM ($19.2M) FCF as base; 15% growth yrs 1-3 tapering to 5% yrs 4-5, then 4% yrs 6-10; 11% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; $10.94M net debt; 12.62M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: American Outdoor Brands is recovering from a cyclical consumer downturn (revenue -14% in FY2026) but management guides FY27 revenue of $200-210M with adjusted EBITDA up 40%+; near-term high growth reflects this guided recovery before settling into steady mid-single-digit growth for a niche outdoor/shooting-sports products company.