Amprius Technologies, Inc.

AMPX ·Technology, Electronic Components, United States
Valuation › AI Valuation

AI Valuation

AI-generated fair value estimate for this company.

AI Fair Value $3.97
Market Price $9.34
Overvalued By 135.3%

Method: 10-year revenue-and-margin-ramp unlevered FCF DCF: $109.23M TTM revenue (+143.6% YoY) growing 28%/26%/22%/18%/15% in years 1-5 and 12%/10%/8%/6%/5% in years 6-10; FCF margin ramping from -20% in year 1 to 20% by year 6 and held flat thereafter, reflecting the company's stated progress toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven; 12% discount rate; 3% terminal growth; $68.14M net cash added; 146.08M shares outstanding.

Reasoning: Amprius is a hyper-growth silicon-anode battery manufacturer that is still cash-flow negative while scaling capacity for aviation/defense/drone customers, so a multi-year revenue-and-margin-ramp DCF that converges to a mature battery-manufacturer margin is more appropriate than a static FCF multiple; the net cash position provides a meaningful offset to near-term cash burn.